100 hPa temperature and geopotential



  Teleconnections and long range forecasts  
AAO (Antarctic Oscillation) NAM (North Annular Mode) SCAND (Scandinavia pattern) Stratosphere Analysis
AO (Arctic Oscillation) NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) SOI (Southern Oscillation) North-Pole Stratosphere Temp
EA (East Atlantic) Polar/Eurasia SST (Sea Surface Temperature) 10 hPa Temp&Geop
EA/WR (East Atl./Western Russia) PNA (Pacific North-America) 100 hPa Temp&Geop
MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) QBO (Quasi-Biennial Oscillation) Intraseasonal Oscillations


Northern empishere: 100 hPa temperature (~ 16 km altitude)

The observation of the geopotentials at 100 hPa is important to evaluate the state of the polar vortex and predict possible split of the same, which can lead to cold air irruptions towards the middle latitudes.
The split of the polar vortex is often the consequence of sudden increases in temperatures in the stratosphere (sudden stratospheric warming, SSW) which in their most intense form (major stratwarming) can reach variations of 50/60 °C within a week. For this reason, analysis and forecast of temperature at 100 hPa, corresponding to an altitude of about 16 km, is important.
It should be emphasized that a major warming does not always correspond to a weakening of the polar vortex. At the same time, mid-latitude cold air outbursts are not always the result of stratwarming, but can be caused by a weak El Niño or by solar activity, both of which favor a weakening of the tropospheric polar vortex.
We also recommend consulting our page dedicated to the stratosphere analysis, with diagrams useful for identifying stratwarming, the one dedicated to stratosphere temperatures at North Pole, and finally the one dedicated to temperatures and geopotentials at 10 hPa.

100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere, last analysis.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
100 hPa Geopotential height on northern emisphere
100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere, last analysis.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on northern emisphere
+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on northern emisphere
+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on northern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Southern emisphere: 100 hPa temperature (~ 16 km altitude)

As before, temperatures and geopotentials in the southern hemisphere are shown here.

100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere, last analysis.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
100 hPa Geopotential height on southern emisphere
100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere, last analysis.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+24 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+48 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+72 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+96 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+120 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+144 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+168 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+192 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+216 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+240 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+264 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+288 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+312 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+336 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+360 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa temperature on southern emisphere
+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) temperature on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa geopotential height on southern emisphere
+384 hours forecast of the 100 hPa (~ 16 km) geopotential height on southern emisphere
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

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