East Atlantic Index [EA index]



  Teleconnections and long range forecasts  
AAO (Antarctic Oscillation) NAM (North Annular Mode) SCAND (Scandinavia pattern) Stratosphere Analysis
AO (Arctic Oscillation) NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) SOI (Southern Oscillation) North-Pole Stratosphere Temp
EA (East Atlantic) Polar/Eurasia SST (Sea Surface Temperature) 10 hPa Temp&Geop
EA/WR (East Atl./Western Russia) PNA (Pacific North-America) 100 hPa Temp&Geop
MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) QBO (Quasi-Biennial Oscillation) Intraseasonal Oscillations


Teleconnective indices: East Atlantic Index [EA index]

The East Atlantic (EA) pattern is the second prominent mode of low-frequency variability over the North Atlantic, and appears as a leading mode in all months. The EA pattern is structurally similar to the NAO, and consists of a north-south dipole of anomaly centers spanning the North Atlantic from east to west. The anomaly centers of the EA pattern are displaced southeastward to the approximate nodal lines of the NAO pattern. For this reason, the EA pattern is often interpreted as a southward shifted NAO pattern. However, the lower-latitude center contains a strong subtropical link in association with modulations in the subtropical ridge intensity and location. This subtropical link makes the EA pattern distinct from its NAO counterpart. This EA pattern is similar to that shown in the Barnston and Livezey (1987) study, but is distinctly different from the EA pattern originally defined by Wallace and Gutzler (1981).
The positive phase of the EA pattern is associated with above-average surface temperatures in Europe in all months, and with below-average temperatures over the southern U.S. during January-May and in the north-central U.S. during July-October. It is also associated with above-average precipitation over northern Europe and Scandinavia, and with below-average precipitation across southern Europe.
The EA pattern exhibits very strong multi-decadal variability in the 1950-2004 record, with the negative phase prevailing during much of 1950-1976, and the positive phase occurring during much of 1977-2004. The positive phase of the EA pattern was particularly strong and persistent during 1997-2004, when 3-month running mean values routinely averaged 1.0-2.0 standard deviations above normal.

East Atlantic Index correlation with surfaces temperature departures
Maps showing correlation during 1950-2000 between the teleconnection index and monthly surface temperature departures for the three months centered on the month of interest. For example, the January pattern shows the correlation between the January values of the teleconnection index and the monthly temperature departures during December, January, and February.
East Atlantic Index correlation with precipitation departures
Maps showing correlation during 1950-2000 between the teleconnection index and monthly precipitation departures for the three months centered on the month of interest. For example, the January pattern shows the correlation between the January values of the teleconnection index and the monthly precipitation departures during December, January, and February.

Montly East Atlantic indices

Montly East Atlantic indices
Montly Mean values of East Atlantic indices and other teleconnections. Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

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