Current status and forecast of Arctic Ocean ice extent



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Arctic sea ice extension, seasonal cycle

This page shows some graphs and charts of the Arctic ice pack, i.e. the ice pack covering the Arctic region around the North Pole.
The extent of the Arctic sea ice follows seasonal thermal cycles, oscillating between a minimum in September and a maximum in March. The 1981-2010 average has a maximum of approximately 15,500,000 km2 and a minimum extent of approximately 6,300,000 km2. According to the annual data available on this page, 2022 fluctuated between a maximum of 14,875,000 km2 on 24 February (ahead of the average) and a minimum of 4,674,000 km2 on 18 September. The lowest extent was observed on 17 September 2012 with 3,387,000 km2.


Arctic sea ice extension, seasonal cycle.
Arctic sea ice extent in 2022 and comparison with the 1981-2010 average. With a red line is shown also the 2012 extent, the year in which the minimum extension was recorded (about 3,387,000 km2).
Credits: nsidc.org

Current ice extent in the Arctic Sea: 2024 updated situation

The following graph shows the current Arctic sea ice extent, compared both with the 1981-2010 average and with the last 10 years average. As reported in the caption, an area with at least 15% ice is considered frozen, so the real extent of the ice is less.


Current Arctic sea ice extent, updated in 2024
Current Arctic sea ice extent in 2024 , compared with the 1981-2010 average and the last 10-year average.
Credits: nsidc.org


Map of the artic sea extent and comparison with the 1981-2020 mean (orange line).

Map of the current Arctic sea ice extent, updated in 2024
Map of the current Arctic sea ice extent in 2024 , compared with the 1981-2010 mean (orange line).
Credits: nsidc.org


Map of extent and concentration of the Artice Ocean ice and comparison with the 1981-2020 mean (orange line).

Map of the current Arctic sea ice extent, updated in 2024
Map of the current Arctic sea ice extent and concentration in 2024, compared with the 1981-2010 mean (orange line).
Credits: nsidc.org

Maps of Arctic sea ice extent forecast

The following maps show the forecasts for the next months Arctic Sea ice extent. In the upper figure the anomalies, in the lower figure the total concentration up to a minimum of 15% (red line).



Artic sea ice extent forecasts. Months 2.
Forecasts of the ice extent in Artic Ocean. Months +2.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Artic sea ice extent forecasts. Months 3.
Forecasts of the ice extent in Artic Ocean. Months +3.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Artic sea ice extent forecasts. Months 4.
Forecasts of the ice extent in Artic Ocean. Months +4.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Artic sea ice extent forecasts. Months 5.
Forecasts of the ice extent in Artic Ocean. Months +5.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Artic sea ice extent forecasts. Months 6.
Forecasts of the ice extent in Artic Ocean. Months +6.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Artic sea ice extent forecasts. Months 7.
Forecasts of the ice extent in Artic Ocean. Months +7.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Total ice extent in the Arctic Sea: next 6 month forecasts

The following diagram shows the total Arctic sea ice extent 2forecasted for the next 6 months. Above, the anomaly respect to the 1981-2010 average, below, the total extent.


Artic Ocean ice extent forecasts in the next 6 months
Above the arctic sea ice extent anomalies forecasted in the next 6 months, compared with the 1981-2010 , below the total extent.
Credits: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

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